India vs West Indies Match Prediction: Who Will Win 1st Test of West Indies tour of Indian 2025?

India face West Indies in a two-Test series from Oct 2 in Ahmedabad, with WTC points at stake and home dominance on their side.

India will begin their home Test season with a two-match series against West Indies from October 2 at the Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad. With 24 World Test Championship points on offer, Rohit Sharma’s side will be aiming for a strong start on home soil.

Trusted Source

India are ranked No. 4 in the ICC Test rankings while West Indies sit at No. 8, making this a high-risk, low-reward contest for the hosts. Any slip-ups could hurt their WTC campaign, though India’s formidable home record makes them overwhelming favourites.

West Indies cricket continues to struggle. They were bowled out for 27 in a pink-ball Test earlier this year and even suffered defeats to Nepal in white-ball cricket. Since 2006, they have not beaten India in 22 Tests, losing 13 and drawing nine.

The visitors may try to draw inspiration from India’s shock 0-3 defeat in New Zealand last year, but conditions in Ahmedabad are expected to suit the home side. The red-soil pitch has some grass but is designed to last longer. Whether West Indies can take advantage remains doubtful.

India enter the series confident after a fighting draw in England. The batting order looks settled, with KL Rahul and Yashasvi Jaiswal opening, Shubman Gill continuing at No. 4, and youngsters Sai Sudharsan and Dhruv Jurel adding depth in the middle order in Rishabh Pant’s absence.

The squad features four all-rounders – Ravindra Jadeja, Washington Sundar, Axar Patel, and Nitish Kumar Reddy – giving the management tough choices. Jadeja and Sundar are almost certain picks after impressing in England, while Axar and Kuldeep Yadav are competing for slots in spin-friendly conditions.

In the pace department, Jasprit Bumrah and Mohammed Siraj will lead the attack. The final XI is likely to depend on how the Ahmedabad pitch shapes up on match day.

Match Details

MatchIndia vs West Indies
DateThursday, October 2, 2025
Time9:30 PM (IST)
VenueNarendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
Live StreamingJioHotstar (app and website) 
TV BroadcastStar Sports Network

Probable Playing XI

India

Yashasvi Jaiswal, KL Rahul, Sai Sudharsan, Shubman Gill (Captain), Dhruv Jurel (Wicket-keeper), Ravindra Jadeja, Washington Sundar, Nitish Kumar Reddy, Axar Patel/Kuldeep Yadav, Jasprit Bumrah, Mohammed Siraj

West Indies

Roston Chase (Captain), Jomel Warrican, Kevlon Anderson, Alick Athanaze, John Campbell, Tagenarine Chanderpaul, Justin Greaves, Shai Hope, Tevin Imlach, Johann Layne, Jediah Blades

IND vs WI Pitch Report for 1st Test at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad

The red-soil pitch with a healthy grass covering is expected to offer good bounce and carry, with pacers likely to enjoy seam movement and extra lift early on. The grass is expected to be trimmed to around 4–5mm before the toss, but the new ball should still pose challenges for batters. As the game wears on, the surface is likely to wear down and develop cracks, bringing spinners into play from days four and five, in keeping with the traditional nature of Indian Test wickets.

IND vs WI Head-to-Head Records ahead of 1st Test of West Indies tour of Indian, 2025

Matches Played100
Won by India23
Won by West Indies30
Drawn47

IND vs WI Result Prediction

India is expected to win the 1st Test , with a 87% probability of victory in this match.