BBL 2025-26: Match 14, Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Match Prediction – Who Will Win Today’s STA vs THU Match?

Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Prediction: Table-toppers Stars face Thunder aiming to build momentum in the BBL clash.

Melbourne Stars will start this match as the team in form, sitting comfortably on top of the points table with three wins from three games. They are expected to stick with the same XI, with pacer Tom Rogers back in the squad after recovering from injury.

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Opener Sam Harper is leading the charge after his maiden BBL hundred, while veteran seamer Peter Siddle has been sharp with the ball and is the highest wicket-taker so far this season.

Sydney Thunder, on the other hand, have had a stop-start beginning with one win from three matches. Still, their confidence has lifted after a solid win over the Heat, powered by half-centuries from Sam Konstas and Matthew Gilkes.

Thunder are likely to go in unchanged as well, banking on the experience of captain David Warner, the all-round skills of Daniel Sams, and a varied bowling attack that includes Shadab Khan and Tanveer Sangha.

Match Details

MatchMelbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder, Match 14
SeriesBig Bash League (BBL) 2025-26
DateSunday, December 28, 2025
VenueManuka Oval, Canberra
Time1:45 PM IST / 8:15 AM GMT / 7:15 PM Local
TV/StreamingStar Sports Network & JioCinema

STA vs THU Head-to-Head Records

Melbourne Stars10
Sydney Thunder12

Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Probable Playing XI

Melbourne Stars Probable XI

The Stars are expected to name an unchanged side following their strong, undefeated start to the season. 

  • Sam Harper (WK)
  • Joe Clarke
  • Campbell Kellaway
  • Glenn Maxwell
  • Marcus Stoinis (C)
  • Hilton Cartwright
  • Tom Curran
  • Jonathan Merlo
  • Mitchell Swepson
  • Haris Rauf
  • Peter Siddle 

Sydney Thunder Probable XI

Sydney Thunder has also opted for an unchanged squad after their recent win against the Brisbane Heat. 

  • Sam Konstas
  • Matthew Gilkes
  • David Warner (C)
  • Cameron Bancroft
  • Sam Billings (WK)
  • Shadab Khan
  • Daniel Sams
  • Chris Green
  • Nathan McAndrew
  • Tanveer Sangha
  • Reece Topley 

Note: These are expected line-ups and official teams may vary

STA vs THU Match Prediction

Even though the Thunder have a better past record, the Stars are coming into this game with stronger form and confidence, making them slight favourites to win. The Stars have a 55 to 59 percent chance, with Sam Harper in good touch with the bat and Haris Rauf leading the attack with the ball.